WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP · S16

Read every Worlds draft.

Explore champion picks, bans and role trends.

MODEL V4.1

173 champions5 roles26.20Worlds outcomes pending

S15 coefficients preserved; patch-response prior1.25, pro practice and KR roles each blend at most5%. New layer is historically uncalibrated, without a verified accuracy gain. Pick bars stack five roles; Worlds actuals remain blank.

Model Metric Reference Champion search

Professional games2556Historical input

Champions173champions

Champion role details5roles

Shared features17Frozen model

Worlds outcomes pending · Comparators are forecasts or historical statistics. Differences are not Worlds prediction errors; actual outcomes remain blank.

01 / COMPARE

Forecasts and references, side by side.

Select a champion for role details

Top 20 · Role breakdowns

TOP 20

All champions

173

02 / EXPLORE

Explore every champion.

Sorted by selected metric · Select a row for details · Scroll horizontally on mobile

Champion	Pick	Ban	Presence	Mean rank	Mean step	Reference	Historical sample95%

Champion role details

Champion

03 / EVALUATE

Assess the evidence and its limits.

V3 errors are not V4.1 errors; current ranked data cannot backfill past windows. Baseline V3:13 windows/210 games, pick RMSE5.3696pp, presence RMSE8.5959pp, role RMSE2.4542pp. Worlds has not started; V4.1 actual error awaits later evaluation.

Full S15 training and V3 baseline errors · Structural/source checks

04 / UNDERSTAND

Transparent parameters, traceable results.

Current model parameters

ridge	0.03
residual_blend	0.75
position_blend	0.5

Presence tiers · Method and error scope · Source coverage · All-champion sensitivity

Comparators are forecasts or historical statistics. Differences are not Worlds prediction errors; actual outcomes remain blank.