S15 / S16 team lane draft priorities
Three calendar months before each Worlds; complete ADC+support bottom matchups. Jungle means development matchups. ≈ marks uncertain adjacent ordering. The index is descriptive, not a win probability.
中文 · Plain text · M2
S15: 2025-07-14 to 2025-10-14 exclusive; observed through 2025-10-12
Gen.G · Jungle > Bottom duo ≈ Mid > Top56 games / 19 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 51.55 | +0.048 | 86.5% | 12.9% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 49.81 | -0.008 | 12.4% | 50.7% | 40.0% |
| Mid | 49.78 | -0.006 | 83.2% | 15.7% | 97.0% |
| Top | 48.23 | -0.063 | 49.8% | 36.6% | 98.6% |
Hanwha Life Esports · Mid ≈ Top ≈ Bottom duo > Jungle43 games / 18 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Mid | 50.37 | +0.007 | 79.0% | 17.3% | 100.0% |
| Top | 50.08 | +0.002 | 59.6% | 23.9% | 99.1% |
| Bottom duo | 49.64 | -0.017 | 7.7% | 49.4% | 38.7% |
| Jungle | 47.89 | -0.077 | 88.8% | 10.2% | 100.0% |
KT Rolster · Top ≈ Mid ≈ Jungle ≈ Bottom duo41 games / 16 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Top | 50.32 | +0.016 | 71.1% | 15.8% | 100.0% |
| Mid | 50.09 | +0.006 | 80.6% | 19.4% | 97.2% |
| Jungle | 49.74 | -0.017 | 84.5% | 10.6% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 49.09 | -0.029 | 8.6% | 35.6% | 23.7% |
T1 · Bottom duo ≈ Top ≈ Jungle ≈ Mid53 games / 19 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 51.01 | +0.038 | 20.0% | 53.4% | 25.1% |
| Top | 50.79 | +0.050 | 56.1% | 26.3% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 50.65 | +0.037 | 84.0% | 16.0% | 97.3% |
| Mid | 50.13 | -0.003 | 80.3% | 6.4% | 96.5% |
Bilibili Gaming · Bottom duo > Mid ≈ Top > Jungle58 games / 19 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 51.68 | +0.053 | 47.2% | 34.0% | 54.6% |
| Mid | 50.66 | +0.024 | 58.2% | 37.1% | 100.0% |
| Top | 50.46 | +0.021 | 45.9% | 28.5% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 49.22 | -0.029 | 69.4% | 29.1% | 97.0% |
Anyone's Legend · Top > Bottom duo ≈ Jungle ≈ Mid63 games / 22 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Top | 51.12 | +0.036 | 64.0% | 26.1% | 98.4% |
| Bottom duo | 50.11 | +0.006 | 26.5% | 41.2% | 36.9% |
| Jungle | 49.93 | -0.003 | 69.6% | 23.4% | 97.9% |
| Mid | 49.54 | -0.016 | 77.2% | 22.1% | 95.7% |
Top Esports · Jungle > Bottom duo > Mid > Top62 games / 20 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 52.25 | +0.083 | 66.9% | 19.6% | 97.7% |
| Bottom duo | 51.03 | +0.033 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 45.4% |
| Mid | 50.26 | +0.020 | 76.6% | 11.6% | 93.0% |
| Top | 49.52 | -0.022 | 54.7% | 41.1% | 99.2% |
Invictus Gaming · Mid > Bottom duo ≈ Top > Jungle50 games / 19 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Mid | 50.01 | -0.001 | 88.6% | 10.9% | 94.0% |
| Bottom duo | 49.40 | -0.028 | 46.5% | 31.0% | 36.9% |
| Top | 49.20 | -0.029 | 41.2% | 47.0% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 48.05 | -0.082 | 50.8% | 41.4% | 97.8% |
G2 Esports · Bottom duo ≈ Top ≈ Jungle ≈ Mid29 games / 12 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 50.27 | +0.012 | 30.2% | 39.2% | 60.1% |
| Top | 50.26 | +0.018 | 50.0% | 38.8% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 50.24 | +0.017 | 76.5% | 11.0% | 92.1% |
| Mid | 50.10 | -0.004 | 80.5% | 10.7% | 100.0% |
Movistar KOI · Jungle > Top ≈ Bottom duo ≈ Mid32 games / 12 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 50.21 | +0.016 | 78.1% | 17.4% | 91.9% |
| Top | 49.52 | -0.022 | 65.7% | 10.3% | 89.3% |
| Bottom duo | 49.16 | -0.016 | 21.6% | 40.5% | 31.8% |
| Mid | 48.36 | -0.051 | 79.3% | 10.5% | 100.0% |
Fnatic · Mid ≈ Top > Bottom duo ≈ Jungle25 games / 8 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Mid | 51.31 | +0.043 | 88.5% | 11.5% | 98.7% |
| Top | 50.98 | +0.052 | 27.5% | 59.4% | 88.8% |
| Bottom duo | 50.32 | +0.013 | 26.2% | 39.3% | 31.1% |
| Jungle | 50.10 | +0.004 | 65.5% | 25.1% | 94.6% |
FlyQuest · Bottom duo > Mid > Top > Jungle29 games / 12 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 51.27 | +0.047 | 22.1% | 37.6% | 24.0% |
| Mid | 50.54 | +0.030 | 84.9% | 15.1% | 97.2% |
| Top | 49.74 | -0.009 | 49.8% | 34.2% | 92.5% |
| Jungle | 48.16 | -0.067 | 63.6% | 27.7% | 97.5% |
100 Thieves · Jungle ≈ Top ≈ Bottom duo ≈ Mid36 games / 11 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 51.31 | +0.050 | 84.5% | 11.8% | 100.0% |
| Top | 50.56 | +0.009 | 75.5% | 12.9% | 94.1% |
| Bottom duo | 49.90 | -0.004 | 4.3% | 66.3% | 26.4% |
| Mid | 49.55 | -0.013 | 87.3% | 6.0% | 97.4% |
Vivo Keyd Stars · Jungle > Top ≈ Mid > Bottom duo11 games / 3 series [insufficient sample; provisional]
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 51.62 | +0.085 | 83.1% | 16.9% | 100.0% |
| Top | 50.07 | +0.006 | 52.6% | 36.5% | 89.1% |
| Mid | 49.63 | -0.009 | 81.6% | 18.4% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 48.90 | -0.033 | 10.6% | 49.5% | 9.1% |
CTBC Flying Oyster · Bottom duo ≈ Mid ≈ Top > Jungle25 games / 11 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 50.66 | +0.010 | 3.7% | 73.6% | 40.5% |
| Mid | 50.23 | +0.020 | 82.2% | 15.1% | 100.0% |
| Top | 49.77 | -0.015 | 97.8% | 2.2% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 47.04 | -0.112 | 88.8% | 9.7% | 100.0% |
PSG Talon · Jungle > Bottom duo ≈ Mid > Top24 games / 10 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 52.87 | +0.114 | 69.8% | 30.2% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 50.25 | +0.000 | 32.9% | 32.3% | 52.3% |
| Mid | 50.12 | +0.016 | 76.9% | 18.1% | 100.0% |
| Top | 48.49 | -0.053 | 45.4% | 48.6% | 100.0% |
Team Secret Whales · Top > Mid ≈ Jungle ≈ Bottom duo32 games / 12 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Top | 51.95 | +0.048 | 50.2% | 39.0% | 100.0% |
| Mid | 50.45 | -0.001 | 86.0% | 9.1% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 50.10 | +0.009 | 79.9% | 16.1% | 98.6% |
| Bottom duo | 49.81 | +0.003 | 13.4% | 49.4% | 50.6% |
S16: 2026-07-15 to 2026-10-15 exclusive; observed through 2026-10-14
Gen.G · Jungle ≈ Top ≈ Bottom duo > Mid53 games / 25 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 49.66 | +0.002 | 81.7% | 14.1% | 100.0% |
| Top | 49.53 | +0.004 | 41.0% | 28.6% | 96.0% |
| Bottom duo | 49.34 | -0.036 | 46.3% | 43.6% | 68.2% |
| Mid | 48.15 | -0.068 | 64.2% | 29.4% | 100.0% |
Hanwha Life Esports · Jungle ≈ Bottom duo > Top ≈ Mid58 games / 24 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 51.43 | +0.023 | 71.9% | 25.2% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 51.16 | +0.040 | 56.0% | 31.8% | 61.6% |
| Top | 49.46 | -0.054 | 42.1% | 37.8% | 97.8% |
| Mid | 49.29 | -0.022 | 57.6% | 28.6% | 100.0% |
T1 · Top ≈ Mid ≈ Bottom duo ≈ Jungle64 games / 26 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Top | 50.39 | +0.017 | 44.1% | 26.0% | 97.1% |
| Mid | 50.28 | +0.008 | 65.6% | 24.1% | 98.9% |
| Bottom duo | 49.49 | -0.024 | 49.1% | 38.2% | 48.8% |
| Jungle | 48.84 | -0.028 | 75.5% | 21.0% | 100.0% |
Dplus Kia · Mid ≈ Top ≈ Bottom duo ≈ Jungle54 games / 23 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Mid | 51.00 | +0.037 | 51.4% | 37.8% | 99.0% |
| Top | 50.93 | +0.041 | 35.3% | 51.5% | 95.7% |
| Bottom duo | 50.88 | +0.026 | 56.2% | 32.3% | 69.8% |
| Jungle | 50.38 | +0.014 | 79.9% | 16.4% | 97.6% |
Anyone's Legend · Bottom duo > Mid ≈ Top ≈ Jungle56 games / 21 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 51.67 | +0.050 | 64.7% | 20.6% | 75.6% |
| Mid | 49.75 | -0.002 | 52.8% | 32.9% | 96.8% |
| Top | 49.66 | -0.009 | 35.0% | 41.7% | 92.4% |
| Jungle | 49.57 | -0.026 | 63.6% | 27.1% | 96.1% |
Bilibili Gaming · Top ≈ Jungle ≈ Bottom duo ≈ Mid51 games / 20 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Top | 50.19 | +0.007 | 48.2% | 34.7% | 96.4% |
| Jungle | 50.05 | +0.007 | 52.4% | 34.6% | 99.0% |
| Bottom duo | 49.95 | +0.002 | 65.7% | 20.9% | 73.0% |
| Mid | 49.61 | -0.012 | 49.3% | 47.5% | 96.4% |
Top Esports · Top ≈ Jungle ≈ Mid ≈ Bottom duo45 games / 17 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Top | 51.47 | +0.055 | 52.3% | 30.3% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 51.32 | +0.055 | 75.9% | 23.2% | 91.7% |
| Mid | 50.84 | +0.024 | 65.2% | 16.9% | 98.7% |
| Bottom duo | 50.30 | +0.012 | 47.4% | 33.0% | 74.6% |
Invictus Gaming · Mid ≈ Jungle ≈ Top > Bottom duo43 games / 13 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Mid | 50.99 | +0.036 | 54.1% | 31.2% | 99.0% |
| Jungle | 50.42 | -0.002 | 71.9% | 19.9% | 83.1% |
| Top | 49.58 | -0.002 | 27.3% | 52.9% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 47.87 | -0.076 | 66.9% | 19.2% | 73.6% |
Team Liquid · Jungle > Bottom duo > Mid > Top26 games / 10 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 53.43 | +0.148 | 77.5% | 8.5% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 51.21 | +0.037 | 72.0% | 10.5% | 84.7% |
| Mid | 49.47 | -0.050 | 40.1% | 28.0% | 94.5% |
| Top | 47.14 | -0.122 | 20.2% | 53.8% | 100.0% |
LYON · Mid ≈ Top > Bottom duo > Jungle34 games / 13 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Mid | 51.05 | +0.043 | 55.7% | 32.1% | 97.8% |
| Top | 50.74 | +0.023 | 28.6% | 45.3% | 99.1% |
| Bottom duo | 48.95 | -0.035 | 62.0% | 27.9% | 67.2% |
| Jungle | 48.10 | -0.077 | 59.5% | 30.9% | 95.7% |
Cloud9 · Bottom duo ≈ Top ≈ Mid ≈ Jungle32 games / 11 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 51.03 | +0.038 | 58.7% | 35.9% | 58.6% |
| Top | 50.81 | +0.034 | 53.8% | 28.2% | 98.5% |
| Mid | 50.52 | +0.028 | 56.0% | 33.5% | 92.4% |
| Jungle | 49.24 | -0.040 | 52.1% | 26.5% | 93.4% |
G2 Esports · Mid > Top ≈ Bottom duo ≈ Jungle35 games / 15 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Mid | 51.07 | +0.033 | 30.9% | 40.5% | 98.2% |
| Top | 48.40 | -0.092 | 39.5% | 50.6% | 97.2% |
| Bottom duo | 48.28 | -0.053 | 81.4% | 5.8% | 77.6% |
| Jungle | 47.27 | -0.111 | 52.4% | 29.6% | 100.0% |
Movistar KOI · Jungle > Top > Bottom duo > Mid41 games / 15 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 52.80 | +0.086 | 67.1% | 28.4% | 92.8% |
| Top | 50.82 | +0.043 | 28.3% | 33.9% | 91.7% |
| Bottom duo | 49.21 | -0.025 | 59.7% | 26.9% | 77.6% |
| Mid | 46.56 | -0.123 | 57.0% | 33.0% | 99.1% |
Karmine Corp · Top > Jungle ≈ Bottom duo > Mid45 games / 18 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Top | 52.59 | +0.092 | 32.2% | 32.7% | 93.7% |
| Jungle | 51.01 | +0.037 | 74.1% | 20.3% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 50.68 | +0.031 | 53.7% | 29.6% | 70.1% |
| Mid | 48.55 | -0.057 | 64.1% | 28.8% | 100.0% |
Team Secret Whales · Jungle > Bottom duo > Mid > Top26 games / 9 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Jungle | 51.85 | +0.063 | 77.0% | 16.9% | 100.0% |
| Bottom duo | 50.19 | -0.004 | 45.1% | 43.9% | 50.1% |
| Mid | 48.66 | -0.044 | 62.0% | 12.5% | 100.0% |
| Top | 47.90 | -0.071 | 26.3% | 56.5% | 91.2% |
CTBC Flying Oyster · Mid ≈ Top > Bottom duo > Jungle35 games / 10 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Mid | 50.81 | +0.028 | 63.0% | 29.5% | 97.0% |
| Top | 50.65 | +0.002 | 50.5% | 29.3% | 91.0% |
| Bottom duo | 49.51 | +0.003 | 50.3% | 29.1% | 58.1% |
| Jungle | 47.79 | -0.069 | 63.2% | 33.5% | 100.0% |
MVK Esports · Bottom duo ≈ Top ≈ Jungle > Mid28 games / 8 series
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 51.22 | +0.050 | 49.0% | 25.3% | 44.5% |
| Top | 50.72 | +0.035 | 56.9% | 28.6% | 97.1% |
| Jungle | 50.29 | +0.010 | 58.0% | 28.4% | 100.0% |
| Mid | 49.26 | -0.025 | 59.2% | 35.4% | 95.9% |
LOS · Bottom duo ≈ Top ≈ Mid ≈ Jungle5 games / 3 series [insufficient sample; provisional]
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 51.20 | +0.123 | 22.2% | 31.2% | 36.8% |
| Top | 50.98 | +0.056 | 31.2% | 68.8% | 78.5% |
| Mid | 50.18 | +0.022 | 77.8% | 22.2% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 49.22 | -0.063 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
FURIA · Bottom duo ≈ Mid > Jungle ≈ Top3 games / 2 series [insufficient sample; provisional]
| Unit | Attention index | Mean matchup coefficient | Complete in first 3 own picks | Late response | Other-series exact matchup support |
|---|
| Bottom duo | 50.39 | -0.014 | 74.2% | 25.8% | 36.2% |
| Mid | 50.27 | +0.077 | 62.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Jungle | 49.14 | -0.082 | 63.8% | 36.2% | 100.0% |
| Top | 48.68 | -0.137 | 0.0% | 63.8% | 100.0% |
Method and limits
Combine matchup advantage with early completion and late response, centered against league/side/format/series-stage peers. The weights for team attention use a 45-day half-life and existing M2 tournament/strength/patch weights. First games and later Fearless games are exported separately. Current 26.20 ranked data are excluded from both retrospective windows.
Early professional CS/gold/XP labels are series-held-out. Exact-matchup evidence excludes the queried whole series, with joint role/hero priors for sparse pairs. The dated March-April 2025 ranked sample is Challenger-seeded, not verified Master+ for all players, and its transfer weight decays with age. Full bottom pairs are never built by summing two ranked duels.
400 series resamples condition on estimated coefficients; total model uncertainty is not included. Final played roles do not establish live flex knowledge. Favorable lanes can reflect comfort, meta or composition goals. These are retrospective estimates, not real-time backtests. Domestic CBLOL coverage is incomplete for FURIA/LOS/VKS; their small samples are provisional. Scores are centered independently for each year.