WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP · S16
Read every Worlds draft.
Explore champion picks, bans and role trends.
173 champions5 roles26.20Worlds outcomes pending
Frozen pre-event forecast · S15 shared parameters + S16 historical features · Worlds outcomes are pending. Whole-event scope includes Play-In, Swiss and Knockout.
All 173 live champions are assumed eligible; the event-specific restricted list has not been obtained. LOS/FURIA have sparse history. No completed 26.19/26.20 samples are available; patch effects are extrapolated.
All 173 live champions are assumed eligible; the event-specific restricted list has not been obtained. LOS/FURIA have sparse history. No completed 26.19/26.20 samples are available; patch effects are extrapolated.
Professional games2556Historical input
Champions173champions
Champion role details5roles
Shared features22Frozen model
Worlds outcomes pending · Comparators are forecasts or historical statistics. Differences are not Worlds prediction errors; actual outcomes remain blank.
01 / COMPARE
Select a champion for role detailsForecasts and references, side by side.
Top 20 · Role breakdowns
TOP 20All champions
17302 / EXPLORE
Explore every champion.
Sorted by selected metric · Select a row for details · Scroll horizontally on mobile
| Champion | Pick | Ban | Presence | Pick rank | BP step | Metric reference | V2 pick 95% interval |
|---|
Champion role details
03 / EVALUATE
Assess the evidence and its limits.
13 windows · 210 test games · Chronological complete-series splits; training information precedes each cutoff. No S16 parameter tuning.
| Metric | V1 | V2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pick-rate RMSE / pp | 5.334 | 5.381 |
| Presence RMSE / pp | 9.216 | 8.615 |
| Champion × role RMSE / pp | 2.434 | 2.460 |
| Pick-weighted rank MAE | 1.467 | 1.462 |
These are retrospective same-patch event-continuation checks, not Worlds errors or validation of 26.20 patch extrapolation. Future series lengths and Fearless availability are not simulated game by game.
Per-window errors · Input & parameter hashes · Full model report04 / UNDERSTAND
Transparent parameters, traceable results.
Current model parameters
| ridge | 0.03 |
| residual_blend | 0.75 |
| position_blend | 0.5 |
| tau_frequency | 20 |
| tau_position | 30 |
Comparators are forecasts or historical statistics. Differences are not Worlds prediction errors; actual outcomes remain blank.